Rubin G.Sh., Polyakova M.A., Gun G.S. Modeling of the technological transformation based on S-shape curves of development

Abstract

A forecasting mathematical model for any system indicator changing in time is created based on properties of S-shape curves. Mathematical equations, which may be used for determination of indicator accelerating and decelerating development periods, are given. This mathematical approach is an efficient way of indicator growth dynamics forecasting and process time intervals determination.

Keywords

S-shape curve of development, forecasting, indicator, mathematical model, growth dynamics.

Rubin Gennadiy Shmulievich – Ph.D. (Eng.), Associate Professor, Nosov Magnitogorsk State Technical University, Russia. E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..

Polyakova Marina Andreevna – Ph.D. (Eng.), Associate Professor, Nosov Magnitogorsk State Technical Univer-sity, Russia. E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..

Gun Gennadiy Semenovich – D.Sc. (Eng.), Adviser to the Rector, Professor, Nosov Magnitogorsk State Technical University, Russia. Phone: +7 (3519) 29-85-26. E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..

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